Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $4,6-trillion in 2023, an increase of 5,5% from 2022, according to the latest forecast by Gartner. Despite continued global economic turbulence, all regions worldwide are projected to have positive IT spending growth in 2023.
“Macroeconomic headwinds are not slowing digital transformation,” says John-David Lovelock, distinguished vice-president analyst at Gartner. “IT spending will remain strong, even as many countries are projected to have near-flat gross domestic product (GDP) growth and high inflation in 2023. Prioritisation will be critical as CIOs look to optimise spend while using digital technology to transform the company’s value proposition, revenue, and client interactions.”
The software segment will see double-digit growth this year as enterprises prioritise spending to capture competitive advantages through increased productivity, automation, and other software-driven transformation initiatives. Conversely, the devices segment will decline nearly 5% in 2023 as consumers defer device purchases due to declining purchasing power and a lack of incentive to buy.
Worldwide IT Spending Forecast (Millions of U.S. Dollars)
| 2022 Spending | 2022 Growth (%) | 2023 Spending | 2023 Growth (%) | 2024 Spending | 2024 Growth (%) | |
| Data Centre Systems | 216,095 | 13.7 | 224,123 | 3.7 | 237,790 | 6.1 |
| Devices | 717,048 | -10.7 | 684,342 | -4.6 | 759,331 | 11.0 |
| Software | 793,839 | 8.8 | 891,386 | 12.3 | 1,007,769 | 13.1 |
| IT Services | 1,250,224 | 3.5 | 1,364,106 | 9.1 | 1,502,759 | 10.2 |
| Communications Services | 1,424,603 | -1.8 | 1,479,671 | 3.9 | 1,536,156 | 3.8 |
| Overall IT | 4,401,809 | 0.5 | 4,643,628 | 5.5 | 5,043,805 | 8.6 |
Source: Gartner (April 2023)
As enterprises navigate continued economic turbulence, the split of technologies being maintained versus those driving the business is apparent in their position relative to overall average IT spending growth.
“CIOs face a balancing act that is evident in the dichotomies in IT spending,” says Lovelock. “For example, there is sufficient spending within data centre markets to maintain existing on-premises data centres, but new spending has shifted to cloud options, as reflected in the growth in IT services.”
The IT services segment will continue its growth trajectory through 2024, largely driven by the infrastructure-as-a-service market, which is projected to reach over 30% growth this year. For the first time, price is a key driver of increased spend for cloud services segments, rather than just increased usage.
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and Credit Suisse created a shockwave within the banking and tech industries. While exposure remains relatively contained, tech startups are likely to face renewed questions and scrutiny from stakeholders, clients, and prospects.
“This is not just a tech problem as these firms lent money to all forms of startups – not just IT,” says Lovelock. “Tech CEOs must urgently ensure they are moving their organisation forward by conserving working capital, monitoring the impact on cash, securing access to credit, and keeping a close eye on talent and culture. Once the organisation is properly prepared, tech CEOs can then direct and engage employees to find, accelerate, and execute on market opportunities.”
Even as layoffs continue to impact the tech industry at large, there is still a critical shortage of skilled IT labour. The demand for tech talent greatly outstrips the supply, which will continue until at least 2026 based on forecast IT spend.
“Tech layoffs do not mean that the IT talent shortage is over,” says Lovelock. “IT spending on internal services is slowing in all industries and enterprises are not keeping up with wage rate increases. As a result, enterprises will spend more money to retain fewer staff and will turn to IT services firms to fill in the gaps.”